Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000982 0.001031 0.001082 0.001137 0.001196 0.001257 0.001325
2025-08-03 0.000907 0.000979 0.001055 0.001141 0.001237 0.001340 0.001459
2025-08-10 0.000846 0.000933 0.001026 0.001136 0.001261 0.001401 0.001568
2025-08-17 0.000786 0.000880 0.000985 0.001111 0.001258 0.001426 0.001634
2025-08-24 0.000741 0.000843 0.000957 0.001096 0.001263 0.001458 0.001706
2025-08-31 0.000712 0.000819 0.000943 0.001097 0.001284 0.001508 0.001798
2025-09-07 0.000680 0.000791 0.000921 0.001085 0.001288 0.001536 0.001864
2025-09-14 0.000653 0.000768 0.000903 0.001076 0.001295 0.001566 0.001932
2025-09-21 0.000628 0.000745 0.000885 0.001066 0.001299 0.001591 0.001993
2025-09-28 0.000603 0.000722 0.000864 0.001052 0.001296 0.001607 0.002043
2025-10-05 0.000575 0.000693 0.000836 0.001026 0.001277 0.001600 0.002060
2025-10-12 0.000558 0.000676 0.000823 0.001019 0.001281 0.001623 0.002119
2025-10-19 0.000544 0.000665 0.000817 0.001022 0.001301 0.001672 0.002219
2025-10-26 0.000533 0.000658 0.000816 0.001033 0.001330 0.001734 0.002343
2025-11-02 0.000519 0.000645 0.000806 0.001031 0.001343 0.001774 0.002434
2025-11-09 0.000497 0.000623 0.000783 0.001010 0.001328 0.001773 0.002467
2025-11-16 0.000481 0.000605 0.000767 0.000997 0.001324 0.001788 0.002521
2025-11-23 0.000470 0.000596 0.000761 0.000997 0.001339 0.001829 0.002619
2025-11-30 0.000456 0.000581 0.000747 0.000987 0.001337 0.001845 0.002679
2025-12-07 0.000444 0.000569 0.000736 0.000979 0.001338 0.001868 0.002748
2025-12-14 0.000431 0.000556 0.000723 0.000970 0.001337 0.001885 0.002810
2025-12-21 0.000419 0.000543 0.000710 0.000958 0.001331 0.001894 0.002857
2025-12-28 0.000403 0.000525 0.000689 0.000935 0.001308 0.001875 0.002857